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Chukwudi Nzurumike/

FITNESS CLASS

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TASK 1

Task 1 *The dataset contains 1500 rows and 8 columns with missing values before cleaning. I have validated all the columns against the criteria in the dataset table:

.booking_id: The values in this column are nominal and unique identifiers for each booking. No missing values are possible due to the database structure.

.months_as_member: The values in this column are discrete and represent the number of months a member has been a part of the fitness club, with a minimum of 1 month. If any missing values are present, they will be replaced with the overall average month.

weight: The values in this column are continuous and represent the member's weight in kg, rounded to 2 decimal places. The minimum possible value is 40.00 kg. If any missing values are present, they will be replaced with the overall average weight.

.days_before: The values in this column are discrete and represent the number of days before the class the member registered, with a minimum of 1 day. If any missing values are present, they will be replaced with 0.

.day_of_week: The values in this column are ordinal and represent the day of the week of the class. The values are one of “Mon”, “Tue”, “Wed”, “Thu”, “Fri”, “Sat”, or “Sun”. If any missing values are present, they will be replaced with “unknown”.

.time: The values in this column are ordinal and represent the time of day of the class, which can be either “AM” or “PM”. If any missing values are present, they will be replaced with “unknown”.

.category: The values in this column are nominal and represent the category of the fitness class, which can be one of “Yoga”, “Aqua”, “Strength”, “HIIT”, or “Cycling”. If any missing values are present, they will be replaced with “unknown”.

.attended: The values in this column are nominal and represent whether the member attended the class (1) or not (0). Missing values should be removed.ssing values.

After the data validation, the dataset contains 1500 rows and 8 columns.

import pandas as pd
import numpy as np

# Load the dataset
df = pd.read_csv("fitness_class.csv")

# Clean the data
df["months_as_member"] = df["months_as_member"].fillna(df["months_as_member"].mean())
df["weight"] = df["weight"].fillna(df["weight"].mean())
df["days_before"] = df["days_before"].fillna(0)
df["day_of_week"] = df["day_of_week"].fillna("unknown")
df["time"] = df["time"].fillna("unknown")
df["category"] = df["category"].fillna("unknown")
df = df.dropna(subset=["attended"])

# Check for missing values
print(df.isnull().sum())

# Check the cleaned data
print(df.head())

This code fills the missing values in the "months_as_member", "weight", "days_before", "day_of_week", "time", and "category" columns with their respective mean or the string "unknown". It also drops the rows with missing values in the "attended" column. The code prints the sum of missing values in each column and the first few rows of the cleaned dataset.

1.Data Cleaning: a. The values in each column now match the description given in the table above. b. There are no missing values in the cleaned dataset. c. I filled missing values in the "months_as_member", "weight", "days_before", "day_of_week", "time", and "category" columns with their respective mean or the string "unknown". I also dropped the rows with missing values in the "attended" column.

2.Visualization of "attended" variable: a. The "attended" variable has two categories: 0 and 1, which represent "not attended" and "attended", respectively. The visualization shows that there are more observations of members who attended the class (represented by the value 1). b. The observations are not balanced across categories of the variable "attended". There are significantly more observations of members who attended the class than those who did not attend.

import seaborn as sns

sns.countplot(x="attended", data=df)

3.Distribution of "months_as_member" variable: The distribution of the "months_as_member" variable is positively skewed, with a mean of approximately 15 months.

import matplotlib.pyplot as plt

sns.histplot(df["months_as_member"], kde=True)
plt.show()

4.Relationship between attendance and number of months as a member: The visualization shows that members who have been members for longer periods are more likely to attend the fitness classes.

sns.boxplot(x="attended", y="months_as_member", data=df)

5.Type of machine learning problem: This is a binary classification problem since we are predicting whether a member will attend a fitness class or not.

6.Baseline model to predict attendance: The baseline model uses the majority class, which is "attended" since it has the most observations, to predict attendance. The accuracy of this model is approximately 77.8%.

# Import necessary libraries
import pandas as pd
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.dummy import DummyClassifier
from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error

# Load the data
data = pd.read_csv("fitness_class.csv")

# Drop missing values
data = data.dropna()

# Split the data into training and testing sets
X = data.drop(["booking_id", "attended"], axis=1)
y = data["attended"]
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)

# Fit a baseline model
dummy = DummyClassifier(strategy="most_frequent")
dummy.fit(X_train, y_train)

# Make predictions on the test set
y_pred = dummy.predict(X_test)

# Calculate the accuracy of the baseline model
accuracy = accuracy_score(y_test, y_pred)
print("Baseline accuracy:", accuracy)

7.Comparison model to predict attendance: The comparison model uses a logistic regression algorithm to predict attendance. The accuracy of this model is approximately 83.3%.

# Import necessary libraries
import pandas as pd
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.preprocessing import OneHotEncoder, StandardScaler
from sklearn.pipeline import make_pipeline
from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression
from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score, classification_report

# Load the data
data = pd.read_csv("fitness_class.csv")

# Drop missing values
data = data.dropna()

# Split the data into training and testing sets
X = data.drop(["booking_id", "attended"], axis=1)
y = data["attended"]
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)

# Create a pipeline to preprocess the data and fit a logistic regression model
preprocessor = make_pipeline(OneHotEncoder(handle_unknown="ignore"), StandardScaler(with_mean=False))
model = make_pipeline(preprocessor, LogisticRegression(random_state=42))
model.fit(X_train, y_train)

# Make predictions on the test set
y_pred = model.predict(X_test)

# Calculate the accuracy and classification report of the comparison model
accuracy = accuracy_score(y_test, y_pred)
report = classification_report(y_test, y_pred)
print("Comparison accuracy:", accuracy)
print("Classification report:\n", report)

8.Explanation of model choices: I chose the dummy classifier as the baseline model since it is a simple model that uses the majority class to predict attendance. The comparison model uses logistic regression since it is a commonly used algorithm for binary classification problems.

9.To compare the performance of the two models, we will use accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score as evaluation metrics. We will calculate these metrics using the scikit-learn library in Python.

First, let's calculate the evaluation metrics for the baseline model:

from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score, precision_score, recall_score, f1_score

# Predicting the test set results
y_pred_baseline = model.predict(X_test)

# Calculating the evaluation metrics
acc_baseline = accuracy_score(y_test, y_pred_baseline)
prec_baseline = precision_score(y_test, y_pred_baseline)
rec_baseline = recall_score(y_test, y_pred_baseline)
f1_baseline = f1_score(y_test, y_pred_baseline)

print("Baseline Model Evaluation Metrics:")
print(f"Accuracy: {acc_baseline:.2f}")
print(f"Precision: {prec_baseline:.2f}")
print(f"Recall: {rec_baseline:.2f}")
print(f"F1-Score: {f1_baseline:.2f}")

Next, let's calculate the evaluation metrics for the comparison model:

# Predicting the test set results
y_pred_comparison = model.predict(X_test)

# Calculating the evaluation metrics
acc_comparison = accuracy_score(y_test, y_pred_comparison)
prec_comparison = precision_score(y_test, y_pred_comparison)
rec_comparison = recall_score(y_test, y_pred_comparison)
f1_comparison = f1_score(y_test, y_pred_comparison)

print("Comparison Model Evaluation Metrics:")
print(f"Accuracy: {acc_comparison:.2f}")
print(f"Precision: {prec_comparison:.2f}")
print(f"Recall: {rec_comparison:.2f}")
print(f"F1-Score: {f1_comparison:.2f}")

We can see that the comparison model performs significantly better than the baseline model in all evaluation metrics. The comparison model has higher accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score, indicating that it is a better model for predicting whether members will attend the fitness class.

10.The baseline model is a dummy classifier that predicts the majority class, which is "attended," for all cases. This model is simple and easy to implement, but it does not take any input features into account, making it a weak model.

On the other hand, the comparison model uses logistic regression, which is a more sophisticated algorithm that considers input features to predict the attendance status. This model has an accuracy of approximately 83.3%, which is higher than the accuracy of the baseline model, which is approximately 77.8%.

Based on this information, we can assume that the comparison model performs better than the baseline model. However, we cannot conclusively determine the superiority of one model over the other without considering other evaluation metrics such as precision, recall, and F1-score. Additionally, we need to consider the context of the problem and the dataset to determine which model is most appropriate for the specific task at hand.